Thursday, January 22, 2009

Oscar Predictions, or How we'll see about everything tomorrow

Jan 22 UPDATE: Huh, Is Daldry the new Eastwood? Or is Harvey back to form?
In terms of predix, I did okay nailing all nominees in 3 different categories (Supp. Actor, Visual Effects & Editing) - and missing just the Winslet film in Best Actress. Also: Wanted, wtf?
62.5/84 = 74 %

Tallies:
Ben Button: 13
Slumdog: 10
TDK: 8
Milk: 8
Wall-E: 6
F/N: 5
Doubt: 5
Reader: 4
Rev Road: 3

Jan 21 BORING:
Let's hope the Academy surprises us tomorrow morning and don't go all MilkSlumdogBenjamin/NixonKnight in EVERY available category. That said, I am hoping for a Wall-E BP nod. Watch me be wrong.


Best Picture (4/5)

Frost/Nixon (B)
Wall-E (A+)
Milk (A)
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (C+)
Slumdog Millionaire (A+)
The Reader

Wishful thinking: Revolutionary Road (A)
Alternate: The Dark Knight (A+)

Best Director (4/5)

Ron Howard (Frost/Nixon - B)
Christopher Nolan (The Dark Knight - A+)
Gus Van Sant (Milk - A)
David Fincher (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire - A+)
Stephen Daldry (The Reader)

Wishful thinking: Andrew Stanton (Wall-E - A+)
Alternate: Darren Aronosfky (The Wrestler)

Best Lead Actor (3/5)

Sean Penn (Milk - A)
Frank Langella (Frost/Nixon - B)
Clint Eastwood (Gran Torino)
Leonardo DiCaprio (Revolutionary Road - A)
Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler)
Brad Pitt (Curious Case of Benjamin Button - C+)
Richard Jenkins (The Visitor)

Wishful thinking: No Clint Eastwood (Gran Torino)
Alternate: Richard Jenkins (The Visitor)

Best Lead Actress (4.5/5)

Meryl Streep (Doubt - A-)
Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road - A) (The Reader)
Melissa Leo (Frozen River)
Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married - A)
Sally Hawkins (Happy-Go-Lucky - A-)
Angelina Jolie (Changeling - C+)

Wishful thinking: Kristin Scott-Thomas (I've Loved You So long - A+)
Alternate: Angelina Jolie (Changeling - C+)

Best Supporting Actor (5/5)

Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight - A+)
Philip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt - A-)
Josh Brolin (Milk - A)
Robert Downey Jr (Tropic Thunder)
Michael Shannon (Revolutionary Road - A)

Wishful thinking: Emile Hirsch (Milk - A)
Alternate: Dev Patel (Slumdog Millionaire - A+)

Best Supporting Actress (4/5)

Viola Davis (Doubt - A-)
Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona - A)
Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)
Kate Winslet (The Reader)
Taraji P. Henson (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - C+)
Amy Adams (Doubt - A-)

Wishful thinking: Kathy Bates (Revolutionary Road - A)
Alternate: Amy Adams (Doubt - A-)

Best Original Screenplay  (2/5)

Vicky Cristina Barcelona (A)
Milk (A)
Rachel Getting Married (A)
Wall-E (A+)
The Wrestler
Frozen River
In Bruges
Happy-Go-Lucky (A-)

Wishful thinking: Burn After Reading (A-)
Alternate: Happy Go-Lucky (A-)

Best Adapted Screenplay (4/5)

Curious Case of Benjamin Button (C+)
Doubt (A-)
Slumdog Millionaire (A+)
The Reader
Revolutionary Road (A)
Frost/Nixon (B)

Wishful thinking: The Dark Knight (A+)
Alternate: Frost/Nixon (B)

Rest of 'em (except for Song, Doc and Foreign - cause really I hate shooting in the dark):

Best Animated Feature Film (2/3)

Kung Fu Panda
WALL•E
Waltz with Bashir
Bolt

Best Art Direction (3/5)

Milk
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Revolutionary Road 
The Reader
The Duchess
The Dark Knight

Best Cinematography (3/5)

Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire
Changeling
The Reader

Best Costume Design (4/5)

Australia
Slumdog Millionaire
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road
Milk

Best Editing (5/5)

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Slumdog Millionaire
Milk

Best Original Score (4/5)

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
WALL•E
Defiance

Best Make-Up (2/3)

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Hellboy II: The Golden Army

Best Sound Mixing (3/5)

The Dark Knight
Iron Man
Slumdog Millionaire
Quantum of Solace
WALL•E
Wanted
Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Best Sound Editing (3/5)

Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
Quantum of Solace
WALL•E
Wanted
Slumdog Millionaire

Best Visual Effects (3/3)

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man

2 comments:

RC said...

i was in the 70%s to --- here's hoping at least for 80% in 2009.

mB said...

Yeah, and let's hope '09 is much more interesting and filled with better films.